Probability - choose gloves
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In a department store at the mall, black and brown gloves are on sale. There are $N$ (identical) pairs of black gloves and $N$ (identical) pairs of brown gloves. If $N$ customers come in, one at a time and randomly choose and buy $2$ pairs each, find the probability of event $A$: each customer buys $2$ pairs of different colors (one black and one brown).
My attempt: $2N$ trials, $N$ choices out of $N$ black gloves, $N$ choices out of $N$ brown gloves, but I don't know what to do next. Any help is appreciated!
probability combinatorics
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In a department store at the mall, black and brown gloves are on sale. There are $N$ (identical) pairs of black gloves and $N$ (identical) pairs of brown gloves. If $N$ customers come in, one at a time and randomly choose and buy $2$ pairs each, find the probability of event $A$: each customer buys $2$ pairs of different colors (one black and one brown).
My attempt: $2N$ trials, $N$ choices out of $N$ black gloves, $N$ choices out of $N$ brown gloves, but I don't know what to do next. Any help is appreciated!
probability combinatorics
New contributor
add a comment |
up vote
0
down vote
favorite
up vote
0
down vote
favorite
In a department store at the mall, black and brown gloves are on sale. There are $N$ (identical) pairs of black gloves and $N$ (identical) pairs of brown gloves. If $N$ customers come in, one at a time and randomly choose and buy $2$ pairs each, find the probability of event $A$: each customer buys $2$ pairs of different colors (one black and one brown).
My attempt: $2N$ trials, $N$ choices out of $N$ black gloves, $N$ choices out of $N$ brown gloves, but I don't know what to do next. Any help is appreciated!
probability combinatorics
New contributor
In a department store at the mall, black and brown gloves are on sale. There are $N$ (identical) pairs of black gloves and $N$ (identical) pairs of brown gloves. If $N$ customers come in, one at a time and randomly choose and buy $2$ pairs each, find the probability of event $A$: each customer buys $2$ pairs of different colors (one black and one brown).
My attempt: $2N$ trials, $N$ choices out of $N$ black gloves, $N$ choices out of $N$ brown gloves, but I don't know what to do next. Any help is appreciated!
probability combinatorics
probability combinatorics
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New contributor
edited Nov 12 at 16:37
Tianlalu
2,325632
2,325632
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asked Nov 12 at 16:32
AlphaDelphi
1
1
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2 Answers
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Hint: What is the chance that the first customer buys different color pairs? Given that one pair of each color is gone, what is the chance the second customer buys different color pairs? Keep going.
Thank you, it was a good hint!
– AlphaDelphi
Nov 12 at 17:06
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When the first customer comes in and selects the first pair of gloves, nothing ye could have gone wrong from the goal of each customer selecting one brown pair and one black pair.
When the first customer selects the second pair there are $frac {N} {2N - 1}$ pairs that are the opposite color from the pair she first selected.
Assuming the streak is still alive for customer two, that second customer can't break the streak with their first selection of a pair of gloves. But when the second customer selects his second pair, there are $frac {N - 1} {2N - 3}$ pairs that are the opposite color of the first pair.
Continuing this pattern, and multiplying, you'll have:
$frac {N cdot (N - 1) cdot (N - 2) cdot ... cdot 1} {(2N - 1) cdot (2N - 3) cdot (2N - 5) cdot ... cdot 1}$
Not sure how best to simplify that, maybe this? $N! cdot frac { N! 2^N} {(2N)!}$
The fraction on the right should cancel out all of the even factors in $(2N)!$
Thank you for the help!
– AlphaDelphi
Nov 12 at 17:07
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2 Answers
2
active
oldest
votes
2 Answers
2
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
up vote
1
down vote
Hint: What is the chance that the first customer buys different color pairs? Given that one pair of each color is gone, what is the chance the second customer buys different color pairs? Keep going.
Thank you, it was a good hint!
– AlphaDelphi
Nov 12 at 17:06
add a comment |
up vote
1
down vote
Hint: What is the chance that the first customer buys different color pairs? Given that one pair of each color is gone, what is the chance the second customer buys different color pairs? Keep going.
Thank you, it was a good hint!
– AlphaDelphi
Nov 12 at 17:06
add a comment |
up vote
1
down vote
up vote
1
down vote
Hint: What is the chance that the first customer buys different color pairs? Given that one pair of each color is gone, what is the chance the second customer buys different color pairs? Keep going.
Hint: What is the chance that the first customer buys different color pairs? Given that one pair of each color is gone, what is the chance the second customer buys different color pairs? Keep going.
answered Nov 12 at 16:45
Ross Millikan
286k23195363
286k23195363
Thank you, it was a good hint!
– AlphaDelphi
Nov 12 at 17:06
add a comment |
Thank you, it was a good hint!
– AlphaDelphi
Nov 12 at 17:06
Thank you, it was a good hint!
– AlphaDelphi
Nov 12 at 17:06
Thank you, it was a good hint!
– AlphaDelphi
Nov 12 at 17:06
add a comment |
up vote
0
down vote
When the first customer comes in and selects the first pair of gloves, nothing ye could have gone wrong from the goal of each customer selecting one brown pair and one black pair.
When the first customer selects the second pair there are $frac {N} {2N - 1}$ pairs that are the opposite color from the pair she first selected.
Assuming the streak is still alive for customer two, that second customer can't break the streak with their first selection of a pair of gloves. But when the second customer selects his second pair, there are $frac {N - 1} {2N - 3}$ pairs that are the opposite color of the first pair.
Continuing this pattern, and multiplying, you'll have:
$frac {N cdot (N - 1) cdot (N - 2) cdot ... cdot 1} {(2N - 1) cdot (2N - 3) cdot (2N - 5) cdot ... cdot 1}$
Not sure how best to simplify that, maybe this? $N! cdot frac { N! 2^N} {(2N)!}$
The fraction on the right should cancel out all of the even factors in $(2N)!$
Thank you for the help!
– AlphaDelphi
Nov 12 at 17:07
add a comment |
up vote
0
down vote
When the first customer comes in and selects the first pair of gloves, nothing ye could have gone wrong from the goal of each customer selecting one brown pair and one black pair.
When the first customer selects the second pair there are $frac {N} {2N - 1}$ pairs that are the opposite color from the pair she first selected.
Assuming the streak is still alive for customer two, that second customer can't break the streak with their first selection of a pair of gloves. But when the second customer selects his second pair, there are $frac {N - 1} {2N - 3}$ pairs that are the opposite color of the first pair.
Continuing this pattern, and multiplying, you'll have:
$frac {N cdot (N - 1) cdot (N - 2) cdot ... cdot 1} {(2N - 1) cdot (2N - 3) cdot (2N - 5) cdot ... cdot 1}$
Not sure how best to simplify that, maybe this? $N! cdot frac { N! 2^N} {(2N)!}$
The fraction on the right should cancel out all of the even factors in $(2N)!$
Thank you for the help!
– AlphaDelphi
Nov 12 at 17:07
add a comment |
up vote
0
down vote
up vote
0
down vote
When the first customer comes in and selects the first pair of gloves, nothing ye could have gone wrong from the goal of each customer selecting one brown pair and one black pair.
When the first customer selects the second pair there are $frac {N} {2N - 1}$ pairs that are the opposite color from the pair she first selected.
Assuming the streak is still alive for customer two, that second customer can't break the streak with their first selection of a pair of gloves. But when the second customer selects his second pair, there are $frac {N - 1} {2N - 3}$ pairs that are the opposite color of the first pair.
Continuing this pattern, and multiplying, you'll have:
$frac {N cdot (N - 1) cdot (N - 2) cdot ... cdot 1} {(2N - 1) cdot (2N - 3) cdot (2N - 5) cdot ... cdot 1}$
Not sure how best to simplify that, maybe this? $N! cdot frac { N! 2^N} {(2N)!}$
The fraction on the right should cancel out all of the even factors in $(2N)!$
When the first customer comes in and selects the first pair of gloves, nothing ye could have gone wrong from the goal of each customer selecting one brown pair and one black pair.
When the first customer selects the second pair there are $frac {N} {2N - 1}$ pairs that are the opposite color from the pair she first selected.
Assuming the streak is still alive for customer two, that second customer can't break the streak with their first selection of a pair of gloves. But when the second customer selects his second pair, there are $frac {N - 1} {2N - 3}$ pairs that are the opposite color of the first pair.
Continuing this pattern, and multiplying, you'll have:
$frac {N cdot (N - 1) cdot (N - 2) cdot ... cdot 1} {(2N - 1) cdot (2N - 3) cdot (2N - 5) cdot ... cdot 1}$
Not sure how best to simplify that, maybe this? $N! cdot frac { N! 2^N} {(2N)!}$
The fraction on the right should cancel out all of the even factors in $(2N)!$
answered Nov 12 at 16:57
Kurt Schwanda
3308
3308
Thank you for the help!
– AlphaDelphi
Nov 12 at 17:07
add a comment |
Thank you for the help!
– AlphaDelphi
Nov 12 at 17:07
Thank you for the help!
– AlphaDelphi
Nov 12 at 17:07
Thank you for the help!
– AlphaDelphi
Nov 12 at 17:07
add a comment |
AlphaDelphi is a new contributor. Be nice, and check out our Code of Conduct.
AlphaDelphi is a new contributor. Be nice, and check out our Code of Conduct.
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