Application of an exponential distribution problem
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The amount of time needed to wash a car at a car-washing station is
exponentially distributed with an expected value of $15$ minutes. You
arrive at the car-washing station while it is occupied and one other
car is waiting for a wash. The owner of this car informs you that the
car in the washing station has already been there for $10$ minutes.
What is the probability that the car washing station will need no more
than $5$ minutes extra? What is the probability that you have to wait
more than $20$ minutes before your car can be washed?
Try
Let $T$ be time needed to wash a car which is exponential with parameter $lambda = frac{1}{15}$. For the first situation we want
$$ P(T < 15 mid T > 10 ) = dfrac{ P(10 < T < 15 ) }{P(T > 10 )} = dfrac{ int_{10}^{15} 1/15 e^{-t/15} dt }{e^{-10/15} }$$
For the second part, we want $P(T > 20 mid T > 10 )$ . HEre we can apply the memoryless property of the exponential:
$$ P(T>20 mid T>10) = P(T > 10) = e^{-10/15} $$
Is this a correct solution?
probability
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up vote
0
down vote
favorite
The amount of time needed to wash a car at a car-washing station is
exponentially distributed with an expected value of $15$ minutes. You
arrive at the car-washing station while it is occupied and one other
car is waiting for a wash. The owner of this car informs you that the
car in the washing station has already been there for $10$ minutes.
What is the probability that the car washing station will need no more
than $5$ minutes extra? What is the probability that you have to wait
more than $20$ minutes before your car can be washed?
Try
Let $T$ be time needed to wash a car which is exponential with parameter $lambda = frac{1}{15}$. For the first situation we want
$$ P(T < 15 mid T > 10 ) = dfrac{ P(10 < T < 15 ) }{P(T > 10 )} = dfrac{ int_{10}^{15} 1/15 e^{-t/15} dt }{e^{-10/15} }$$
For the second part, we want $P(T > 20 mid T > 10 )$ . HEre we can apply the memoryless property of the exponential:
$$ P(T>20 mid T>10) = P(T > 10) = e^{-10/15} $$
Is this a correct solution?
probability
add a comment |
up vote
0
down vote
favorite
up vote
0
down vote
favorite
The amount of time needed to wash a car at a car-washing station is
exponentially distributed with an expected value of $15$ minutes. You
arrive at the car-washing station while it is occupied and one other
car is waiting for a wash. The owner of this car informs you that the
car in the washing station has already been there for $10$ minutes.
What is the probability that the car washing station will need no more
than $5$ minutes extra? What is the probability that you have to wait
more than $20$ minutes before your car can be washed?
Try
Let $T$ be time needed to wash a car which is exponential with parameter $lambda = frac{1}{15}$. For the first situation we want
$$ P(T < 15 mid T > 10 ) = dfrac{ P(10 < T < 15 ) }{P(T > 10 )} = dfrac{ int_{10}^{15} 1/15 e^{-t/15} dt }{e^{-10/15} }$$
For the second part, we want $P(T > 20 mid T > 10 )$ . HEre we can apply the memoryless property of the exponential:
$$ P(T>20 mid T>10) = P(T > 10) = e^{-10/15} $$
Is this a correct solution?
probability
The amount of time needed to wash a car at a car-washing station is
exponentially distributed with an expected value of $15$ minutes. You
arrive at the car-washing station while it is occupied and one other
car is waiting for a wash. The owner of this car informs you that the
car in the washing station has already been there for $10$ minutes.
What is the probability that the car washing station will need no more
than $5$ minutes extra? What is the probability that you have to wait
more than $20$ minutes before your car can be washed?
Try
Let $T$ be time needed to wash a car which is exponential with parameter $lambda = frac{1}{15}$. For the first situation we want
$$ P(T < 15 mid T > 10 ) = dfrac{ P(10 < T < 15 ) }{P(T > 10 )} = dfrac{ int_{10}^{15} 1/15 e^{-t/15} dt }{e^{-10/15} }$$
For the second part, we want $P(T > 20 mid T > 10 )$ . HEre we can apply the memoryless property of the exponential:
$$ P(T>20 mid T>10) = P(T > 10) = e^{-10/15} $$
Is this a correct solution?
probability
probability
asked Nov 13 at 23:44
Neymar
32513
32513
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1 Answer
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HINT 1:
For the first part, I don't see why you didn't also use the memoryless property, since
$$P(T<15|T>10)=1-P(T>15|T>10)=1-P(T>5).$$
HINT 2:
For the second part, note that the total time you'll have to wait is
$$T=T_1+T_2,$$
where $T_1$ is the aditional time that the car which is already in the car-wash will need to finish and $T_2$ is the time it will take to the second car. Also use the memoryless property to determine the distribution of $T_1$ and deduce the distribution of $T$ (you'll have to assume that $T_1$ and $T_2$ are independent, though).
EDIT: Remember the following property:
If $Xsim Gamma(alpha_X,lambda)$, $Ysim Gamma(alpha_Y,lambda)$ and they are independent r.v., then$$X+Ysim Gamma(alpha_X+alpha_Y,lambda).$$
And also remember that $mathcal E(lambda)=Gamma(1,lambda)$.
add a comment |
1 Answer
1
active
oldest
votes
1 Answer
1
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
up vote
1
down vote
accepted
HINT 1:
For the first part, I don't see why you didn't also use the memoryless property, since
$$P(T<15|T>10)=1-P(T>15|T>10)=1-P(T>5).$$
HINT 2:
For the second part, note that the total time you'll have to wait is
$$T=T_1+T_2,$$
where $T_1$ is the aditional time that the car which is already in the car-wash will need to finish and $T_2$ is the time it will take to the second car. Also use the memoryless property to determine the distribution of $T_1$ and deduce the distribution of $T$ (you'll have to assume that $T_1$ and $T_2$ are independent, though).
EDIT: Remember the following property:
If $Xsim Gamma(alpha_X,lambda)$, $Ysim Gamma(alpha_Y,lambda)$ and they are independent r.v., then$$X+Ysim Gamma(alpha_X+alpha_Y,lambda).$$
And also remember that $mathcal E(lambda)=Gamma(1,lambda)$.
add a comment |
up vote
1
down vote
accepted
HINT 1:
For the first part, I don't see why you didn't also use the memoryless property, since
$$P(T<15|T>10)=1-P(T>15|T>10)=1-P(T>5).$$
HINT 2:
For the second part, note that the total time you'll have to wait is
$$T=T_1+T_2,$$
where $T_1$ is the aditional time that the car which is already in the car-wash will need to finish and $T_2$ is the time it will take to the second car. Also use the memoryless property to determine the distribution of $T_1$ and deduce the distribution of $T$ (you'll have to assume that $T_1$ and $T_2$ are independent, though).
EDIT: Remember the following property:
If $Xsim Gamma(alpha_X,lambda)$, $Ysim Gamma(alpha_Y,lambda)$ and they are independent r.v., then$$X+Ysim Gamma(alpha_X+alpha_Y,lambda).$$
And also remember that $mathcal E(lambda)=Gamma(1,lambda)$.
add a comment |
up vote
1
down vote
accepted
up vote
1
down vote
accepted
HINT 1:
For the first part, I don't see why you didn't also use the memoryless property, since
$$P(T<15|T>10)=1-P(T>15|T>10)=1-P(T>5).$$
HINT 2:
For the second part, note that the total time you'll have to wait is
$$T=T_1+T_2,$$
where $T_1$ is the aditional time that the car which is already in the car-wash will need to finish and $T_2$ is the time it will take to the second car. Also use the memoryless property to determine the distribution of $T_1$ and deduce the distribution of $T$ (you'll have to assume that $T_1$ and $T_2$ are independent, though).
EDIT: Remember the following property:
If $Xsim Gamma(alpha_X,lambda)$, $Ysim Gamma(alpha_Y,lambda)$ and they are independent r.v., then$$X+Ysim Gamma(alpha_X+alpha_Y,lambda).$$
And also remember that $mathcal E(lambda)=Gamma(1,lambda)$.
HINT 1:
For the first part, I don't see why you didn't also use the memoryless property, since
$$P(T<15|T>10)=1-P(T>15|T>10)=1-P(T>5).$$
HINT 2:
For the second part, note that the total time you'll have to wait is
$$T=T_1+T_2,$$
where $T_1$ is the aditional time that the car which is already in the car-wash will need to finish and $T_2$ is the time it will take to the second car. Also use the memoryless property to determine the distribution of $T_1$ and deduce the distribution of $T$ (you'll have to assume that $T_1$ and $T_2$ are independent, though).
EDIT: Remember the following property:
If $Xsim Gamma(alpha_X,lambda)$, $Ysim Gamma(alpha_Y,lambda)$ and they are independent r.v., then$$X+Ysim Gamma(alpha_X+alpha_Y,lambda).$$
And also remember that $mathcal E(lambda)=Gamma(1,lambda)$.
edited Nov 14 at 0:15
answered Nov 14 at 0:09
Alejandro Nasif Salum
3,629117
3,629117
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