Application of an exponential distribution problem











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The amount of time needed to wash a car at a car-washing station is
exponentially distributed with an expected value of $15$ minutes. You
arrive at the car-washing station while it is occupied and one other
car is waiting for a wash. The owner of this car informs you that the
car in the washing station has already been there for $10$ minutes.
What is the probability that the car washing station will need no more
than $5$ minutes extra? What is the probability that you have to wait
more than $20$ minutes before your car can be washed?




Try



Let $T$ be time needed to wash a car which is exponential with parameter $lambda = frac{1}{15}$. For the first situation we want



$$ P(T < 15 mid T > 10 ) = dfrac{ P(10 < T < 15 ) }{P(T > 10 )} = dfrac{ int_{10}^{15} 1/15 e^{-t/15} dt }{e^{-10/15} }$$



For the second part, we want $P(T > 20 mid T > 10 )$ . HEre we can apply the memoryless property of the exponential:



$$ P(T>20 mid T>10) = P(T > 10) = e^{-10/15} $$



Is this a correct solution?










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    The amount of time needed to wash a car at a car-washing station is
    exponentially distributed with an expected value of $15$ minutes. You
    arrive at the car-washing station while it is occupied and one other
    car is waiting for a wash. The owner of this car informs you that the
    car in the washing station has already been there for $10$ minutes.
    What is the probability that the car washing station will need no more
    than $5$ minutes extra? What is the probability that you have to wait
    more than $20$ minutes before your car can be washed?




    Try



    Let $T$ be time needed to wash a car which is exponential with parameter $lambda = frac{1}{15}$. For the first situation we want



    $$ P(T < 15 mid T > 10 ) = dfrac{ P(10 < T < 15 ) }{P(T > 10 )} = dfrac{ int_{10}^{15} 1/15 e^{-t/15} dt }{e^{-10/15} }$$



    For the second part, we want $P(T > 20 mid T > 10 )$ . HEre we can apply the memoryless property of the exponential:



    $$ P(T>20 mid T>10) = P(T > 10) = e^{-10/15} $$



    Is this a correct solution?










    share|cite|improve this question
























      up vote
      0
      down vote

      favorite









      up vote
      0
      down vote

      favorite












      The amount of time needed to wash a car at a car-washing station is
      exponentially distributed with an expected value of $15$ minutes. You
      arrive at the car-washing station while it is occupied and one other
      car is waiting for a wash. The owner of this car informs you that the
      car in the washing station has already been there for $10$ minutes.
      What is the probability that the car washing station will need no more
      than $5$ minutes extra? What is the probability that you have to wait
      more than $20$ minutes before your car can be washed?




      Try



      Let $T$ be time needed to wash a car which is exponential with parameter $lambda = frac{1}{15}$. For the first situation we want



      $$ P(T < 15 mid T > 10 ) = dfrac{ P(10 < T < 15 ) }{P(T > 10 )} = dfrac{ int_{10}^{15} 1/15 e^{-t/15} dt }{e^{-10/15} }$$



      For the second part, we want $P(T > 20 mid T > 10 )$ . HEre we can apply the memoryless property of the exponential:



      $$ P(T>20 mid T>10) = P(T > 10) = e^{-10/15} $$



      Is this a correct solution?










      share|cite|improve this question














      The amount of time needed to wash a car at a car-washing station is
      exponentially distributed with an expected value of $15$ minutes. You
      arrive at the car-washing station while it is occupied and one other
      car is waiting for a wash. The owner of this car informs you that the
      car in the washing station has already been there for $10$ minutes.
      What is the probability that the car washing station will need no more
      than $5$ minutes extra? What is the probability that you have to wait
      more than $20$ minutes before your car can be washed?




      Try



      Let $T$ be time needed to wash a car which is exponential with parameter $lambda = frac{1}{15}$. For the first situation we want



      $$ P(T < 15 mid T > 10 ) = dfrac{ P(10 < T < 15 ) }{P(T > 10 )} = dfrac{ int_{10}^{15} 1/15 e^{-t/15} dt }{e^{-10/15} }$$



      For the second part, we want $P(T > 20 mid T > 10 )$ . HEre we can apply the memoryless property of the exponential:



      $$ P(T>20 mid T>10) = P(T > 10) = e^{-10/15} $$



      Is this a correct solution?







      probability






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      asked Nov 13 at 23:44









      Neymar

      32513




      32513






















          1 Answer
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          HINT 1:
          For the first part, I don't see why you didn't also use the memoryless property, since
          $$P(T<15|T>10)=1-P(T>15|T>10)=1-P(T>5).$$



          HINT 2:
          For the second part, note that the total time you'll have to wait is
          $$T=T_1+T_2,$$
          where $T_1$ is the aditional time that the car which is already in the car-wash will need to finish and $T_2$ is the time it will take to the second car. Also use the memoryless property to determine the distribution of $T_1$ and deduce the distribution of $T$ (you'll have to assume that $T_1$ and $T_2$ are independent, though).





          EDIT: Remember the following property:




          If $Xsim Gamma(alpha_X,lambda)$, $Ysim Gamma(alpha_Y,lambda)$ and they are independent r.v., then$$X+Ysim Gamma(alpha_X+alpha_Y,lambda).$$




          And also remember that $mathcal E(lambda)=Gamma(1,lambda)$.






          share|cite|improve this answer























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            1 Answer
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            active

            oldest

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            1 Answer
            1






            active

            oldest

            votes









            active

            oldest

            votes






            active

            oldest

            votes








            up vote
            1
            down vote



            accepted










            HINT 1:
            For the first part, I don't see why you didn't also use the memoryless property, since
            $$P(T<15|T>10)=1-P(T>15|T>10)=1-P(T>5).$$



            HINT 2:
            For the second part, note that the total time you'll have to wait is
            $$T=T_1+T_2,$$
            where $T_1$ is the aditional time that the car which is already in the car-wash will need to finish and $T_2$ is the time it will take to the second car. Also use the memoryless property to determine the distribution of $T_1$ and deduce the distribution of $T$ (you'll have to assume that $T_1$ and $T_2$ are independent, though).





            EDIT: Remember the following property:




            If $Xsim Gamma(alpha_X,lambda)$, $Ysim Gamma(alpha_Y,lambda)$ and they are independent r.v., then$$X+Ysim Gamma(alpha_X+alpha_Y,lambda).$$




            And also remember that $mathcal E(lambda)=Gamma(1,lambda)$.






            share|cite|improve this answer



























              up vote
              1
              down vote



              accepted










              HINT 1:
              For the first part, I don't see why you didn't also use the memoryless property, since
              $$P(T<15|T>10)=1-P(T>15|T>10)=1-P(T>5).$$



              HINT 2:
              For the second part, note that the total time you'll have to wait is
              $$T=T_1+T_2,$$
              where $T_1$ is the aditional time that the car which is already in the car-wash will need to finish and $T_2$ is the time it will take to the second car. Also use the memoryless property to determine the distribution of $T_1$ and deduce the distribution of $T$ (you'll have to assume that $T_1$ and $T_2$ are independent, though).





              EDIT: Remember the following property:




              If $Xsim Gamma(alpha_X,lambda)$, $Ysim Gamma(alpha_Y,lambda)$ and they are independent r.v., then$$X+Ysim Gamma(alpha_X+alpha_Y,lambda).$$




              And also remember that $mathcal E(lambda)=Gamma(1,lambda)$.






              share|cite|improve this answer

























                up vote
                1
                down vote



                accepted







                up vote
                1
                down vote



                accepted






                HINT 1:
                For the first part, I don't see why you didn't also use the memoryless property, since
                $$P(T<15|T>10)=1-P(T>15|T>10)=1-P(T>5).$$



                HINT 2:
                For the second part, note that the total time you'll have to wait is
                $$T=T_1+T_2,$$
                where $T_1$ is the aditional time that the car which is already in the car-wash will need to finish and $T_2$ is the time it will take to the second car. Also use the memoryless property to determine the distribution of $T_1$ and deduce the distribution of $T$ (you'll have to assume that $T_1$ and $T_2$ are independent, though).





                EDIT: Remember the following property:




                If $Xsim Gamma(alpha_X,lambda)$, $Ysim Gamma(alpha_Y,lambda)$ and they are independent r.v., then$$X+Ysim Gamma(alpha_X+alpha_Y,lambda).$$




                And also remember that $mathcal E(lambda)=Gamma(1,lambda)$.






                share|cite|improve this answer














                HINT 1:
                For the first part, I don't see why you didn't also use the memoryless property, since
                $$P(T<15|T>10)=1-P(T>15|T>10)=1-P(T>5).$$



                HINT 2:
                For the second part, note that the total time you'll have to wait is
                $$T=T_1+T_2,$$
                where $T_1$ is the aditional time that the car which is already in the car-wash will need to finish and $T_2$ is the time it will take to the second car. Also use the memoryless property to determine the distribution of $T_1$ and deduce the distribution of $T$ (you'll have to assume that $T_1$ and $T_2$ are independent, though).





                EDIT: Remember the following property:




                If $Xsim Gamma(alpha_X,lambda)$, $Ysim Gamma(alpha_Y,lambda)$ and they are independent r.v., then$$X+Ysim Gamma(alpha_X+alpha_Y,lambda).$$




                And also remember that $mathcal E(lambda)=Gamma(1,lambda)$.







                share|cite|improve this answer














                share|cite|improve this answer



                share|cite|improve this answer








                edited Nov 14 at 0:15

























                answered Nov 14 at 0:09









                Alejandro Nasif Salum

                3,629117




                3,629117






























                     

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