Backward Kolmogorov equation to find probability












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$begingroup$


From lecture notes in a course on SDE's. We are tasked with using the backward Kolmogorov equation to find.



$mathbb{P}^{X_t=x}left(X_Tgeq2 right)$



I am confused by the terminology here. We are looking for the probability that a process at time $t$ is equal to $x$, conditioned on the terminal value being equal to $2$. Do we then solve for the density in the backward equation and integrate over the time interval?










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$endgroup$








  • 1




    $begingroup$
    $P^{X_t=x}(X_Tge 2)$ denotes the probability that $X_Tge 2$ given $X_t=x$ (not the probability that $X_t=x$ given $X_Tge 2$).
    $endgroup$
    – AddSup
    Nov 30 '18 at 6:25












  • $begingroup$
    Thanks for the clarification. I would then solve for the density in the backwards equation, which would give me a probability density $k(x,t)$, expressed as a function of the initial conditions. Would I then just integrate the relevant area in the probability space?
    $endgroup$
    – thaumoctopus
    Dec 3 '18 at 20:52
















0












$begingroup$


From lecture notes in a course on SDE's. We are tasked with using the backward Kolmogorov equation to find.



$mathbb{P}^{X_t=x}left(X_Tgeq2 right)$



I am confused by the terminology here. We are looking for the probability that a process at time $t$ is equal to $x$, conditioned on the terminal value being equal to $2$. Do we then solve for the density in the backward equation and integrate over the time interval?










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$








  • 1




    $begingroup$
    $P^{X_t=x}(X_Tge 2)$ denotes the probability that $X_Tge 2$ given $X_t=x$ (not the probability that $X_t=x$ given $X_Tge 2$).
    $endgroup$
    – AddSup
    Nov 30 '18 at 6:25












  • $begingroup$
    Thanks for the clarification. I would then solve for the density in the backwards equation, which would give me a probability density $k(x,t)$, expressed as a function of the initial conditions. Would I then just integrate the relevant area in the probability space?
    $endgroup$
    – thaumoctopus
    Dec 3 '18 at 20:52














0












0








0





$begingroup$


From lecture notes in a course on SDE's. We are tasked with using the backward Kolmogorov equation to find.



$mathbb{P}^{X_t=x}left(X_Tgeq2 right)$



I am confused by the terminology here. We are looking for the probability that a process at time $t$ is equal to $x$, conditioned on the terminal value being equal to $2$. Do we then solve for the density in the backward equation and integrate over the time interval?










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$




From lecture notes in a course on SDE's. We are tasked with using the backward Kolmogorov equation to find.



$mathbb{P}^{X_t=x}left(X_Tgeq2 right)$



I am confused by the terminology here. We are looking for the probability that a process at time $t$ is equal to $x$, conditioned on the terminal value being equal to $2$. Do we then solve for the density in the backward equation and integrate over the time interval?







probability-theory stochastic-processes stochastic-calculus markov-process sde






share|cite|improve this question













share|cite|improve this question











share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question










asked Nov 29 '18 at 18:22









thaumoctopusthaumoctopus

9519




9519








  • 1




    $begingroup$
    $P^{X_t=x}(X_Tge 2)$ denotes the probability that $X_Tge 2$ given $X_t=x$ (not the probability that $X_t=x$ given $X_Tge 2$).
    $endgroup$
    – AddSup
    Nov 30 '18 at 6:25












  • $begingroup$
    Thanks for the clarification. I would then solve for the density in the backwards equation, which would give me a probability density $k(x,t)$, expressed as a function of the initial conditions. Would I then just integrate the relevant area in the probability space?
    $endgroup$
    – thaumoctopus
    Dec 3 '18 at 20:52














  • 1




    $begingroup$
    $P^{X_t=x}(X_Tge 2)$ denotes the probability that $X_Tge 2$ given $X_t=x$ (not the probability that $X_t=x$ given $X_Tge 2$).
    $endgroup$
    – AddSup
    Nov 30 '18 at 6:25












  • $begingroup$
    Thanks for the clarification. I would then solve for the density in the backwards equation, which would give me a probability density $k(x,t)$, expressed as a function of the initial conditions. Would I then just integrate the relevant area in the probability space?
    $endgroup$
    – thaumoctopus
    Dec 3 '18 at 20:52








1




1




$begingroup$
$P^{X_t=x}(X_Tge 2)$ denotes the probability that $X_Tge 2$ given $X_t=x$ (not the probability that $X_t=x$ given $X_Tge 2$).
$endgroup$
– AddSup
Nov 30 '18 at 6:25






$begingroup$
$P^{X_t=x}(X_Tge 2)$ denotes the probability that $X_Tge 2$ given $X_t=x$ (not the probability that $X_t=x$ given $X_Tge 2$).
$endgroup$
– AddSup
Nov 30 '18 at 6:25














$begingroup$
Thanks for the clarification. I would then solve for the density in the backwards equation, which would give me a probability density $k(x,t)$, expressed as a function of the initial conditions. Would I then just integrate the relevant area in the probability space?
$endgroup$
– thaumoctopus
Dec 3 '18 at 20:52




$begingroup$
Thanks for the clarification. I would then solve for the density in the backwards equation, which would give me a probability density $k(x,t)$, expressed as a function of the initial conditions. Would I then just integrate the relevant area in the probability space?
$endgroup$
– thaumoctopus
Dec 3 '18 at 20:52










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