Indicator Random Variables for Card Game (2 Red in a row)












2












$begingroup$


Working through some practice problems in Introduction to Probability, Blitzstein. (I found similar problems to this one but want to make sure I understand this concept.)




You have a well-shuffed 52-card deck. On average, how many pairs of adjacent cards are there such that both cards are red?




Create indicator random variable I, where I=1 if both red, else 0



Cards could be RR, RB, BB, BR, so probability of indicator variable success is:




  • P(I=0)=$frac{3}{4}$

  • P(I=1)=$frac{1}{4}$


You don't have to check the 1st card alone, so there are 52-1 cards to check. Expectation is therefore:



$E(I) = sum_{i=1}^{51} P(I_i=1) = 51(0*frac{3}{4}+1frac{1}{4}) = frac{51}{4}$



Questions:
1. Is the logic correct?
2. Can someone verify and further explain why sum from 1 to 51 is correct (or incorrect if I'm wrong)
3. Is the nomenclature for what to sum correct?



(Edit: edited P(I=1) and P(I=0) per comment below)










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$

















    2












    $begingroup$


    Working through some practice problems in Introduction to Probability, Blitzstein. (I found similar problems to this one but want to make sure I understand this concept.)




    You have a well-shuffed 52-card deck. On average, how many pairs of adjacent cards are there such that both cards are red?




    Create indicator random variable I, where I=1 if both red, else 0



    Cards could be RR, RB, BB, BR, so probability of indicator variable success is:




    • P(I=0)=$frac{3}{4}$

    • P(I=1)=$frac{1}{4}$


    You don't have to check the 1st card alone, so there are 52-1 cards to check. Expectation is therefore:



    $E(I) = sum_{i=1}^{51} P(I_i=1) = 51(0*frac{3}{4}+1frac{1}{4}) = frac{51}{4}$



    Questions:
    1. Is the logic correct?
    2. Can someone verify and further explain why sum from 1 to 51 is correct (or incorrect if I'm wrong)
    3. Is the nomenclature for what to sum correct?



    (Edit: edited P(I=1) and P(I=0) per comment below)










    share|cite|improve this question











    $endgroup$















      2












      2








      2





      $begingroup$


      Working through some practice problems in Introduction to Probability, Blitzstein. (I found similar problems to this one but want to make sure I understand this concept.)




      You have a well-shuffed 52-card deck. On average, how many pairs of adjacent cards are there such that both cards are red?




      Create indicator random variable I, where I=1 if both red, else 0



      Cards could be RR, RB, BB, BR, so probability of indicator variable success is:




      • P(I=0)=$frac{3}{4}$

      • P(I=1)=$frac{1}{4}$


      You don't have to check the 1st card alone, so there are 52-1 cards to check. Expectation is therefore:



      $E(I) = sum_{i=1}^{51} P(I_i=1) = 51(0*frac{3}{4}+1frac{1}{4}) = frac{51}{4}$



      Questions:
      1. Is the logic correct?
      2. Can someone verify and further explain why sum from 1 to 51 is correct (or incorrect if I'm wrong)
      3. Is the nomenclature for what to sum correct?



      (Edit: edited P(I=1) and P(I=0) per comment below)










      share|cite|improve this question











      $endgroup$




      Working through some practice problems in Introduction to Probability, Blitzstein. (I found similar problems to this one but want to make sure I understand this concept.)




      You have a well-shuffed 52-card deck. On average, how many pairs of adjacent cards are there such that both cards are red?




      Create indicator random variable I, where I=1 if both red, else 0



      Cards could be RR, RB, BB, BR, so probability of indicator variable success is:




      • P(I=0)=$frac{3}{4}$

      • P(I=1)=$frac{1}{4}$


      You don't have to check the 1st card alone, so there are 52-1 cards to check. Expectation is therefore:



      $E(I) = sum_{i=1}^{51} P(I_i=1) = 51(0*frac{3}{4}+1frac{1}{4}) = frac{51}{4}$



      Questions:
      1. Is the logic correct?
      2. Can someone verify and further explain why sum from 1 to 51 is correct (or incorrect if I'm wrong)
      3. Is the nomenclature for what to sum correct?



      (Edit: edited P(I=1) and P(I=0) per comment below)







      random-variables card-games






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      edited Dec 1 '18 at 20:27







      user603569

















      asked Dec 1 '18 at 19:58









      user603569user603569

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          $begingroup$

          Apart from what looks likes a typo flipping $P(I_i = 1)$ and $P(I_i=0)$, this looks okay. You should also be careful with being explicit about your random variables; as you define $I$, you should have $E(I) = frac{1}{4}$ (what you really want is to define a separate $I_i$ for each $1 leq i leq 51$).



          The justification for the sum comes from linearity of expectation. If you define the $I_i$'s as described, and let $I$ be the random variable denoting the total number of positions where this occurs, we have:
          $$Eleft(Iright) = Eleft(sum_{i=1}^{51} I_i right) = sum_{i=1}^{51} Eleft(I_i right) = sum_{i=1}^{51} Pr(I_i = 1) = frac{51}{4}$$






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            Good catch on P(I=1) and P(I=0); I'll edit in the question in case anyone gets confused by that. On semantics: is there any issue with writing $sum_{i=2}^{52}$ instead?
            $endgroup$
            – user603569
            Dec 1 '18 at 20:26








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            Not really; this depends on how you set up your indicators (does $I_i$ represent $i$ and $i+1$ both being red, or $i$ and $i-1$ both being red?) You should get the same answer either way.
            $endgroup$
            – platty
            Dec 1 '18 at 20:27











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          1 Answer
          1






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          active

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          0












          $begingroup$

          Apart from what looks likes a typo flipping $P(I_i = 1)$ and $P(I_i=0)$, this looks okay. You should also be careful with being explicit about your random variables; as you define $I$, you should have $E(I) = frac{1}{4}$ (what you really want is to define a separate $I_i$ for each $1 leq i leq 51$).



          The justification for the sum comes from linearity of expectation. If you define the $I_i$'s as described, and let $I$ be the random variable denoting the total number of positions where this occurs, we have:
          $$Eleft(Iright) = Eleft(sum_{i=1}^{51} I_i right) = sum_{i=1}^{51} Eleft(I_i right) = sum_{i=1}^{51} Pr(I_i = 1) = frac{51}{4}$$






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            Good catch on P(I=1) and P(I=0); I'll edit in the question in case anyone gets confused by that. On semantics: is there any issue with writing $sum_{i=2}^{52}$ instead?
            $endgroup$
            – user603569
            Dec 1 '18 at 20:26








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            Not really; this depends on how you set up your indicators (does $I_i$ represent $i$ and $i+1$ both being red, or $i$ and $i-1$ both being red?) You should get the same answer either way.
            $endgroup$
            – platty
            Dec 1 '18 at 20:27
















          0












          $begingroup$

          Apart from what looks likes a typo flipping $P(I_i = 1)$ and $P(I_i=0)$, this looks okay. You should also be careful with being explicit about your random variables; as you define $I$, you should have $E(I) = frac{1}{4}$ (what you really want is to define a separate $I_i$ for each $1 leq i leq 51$).



          The justification for the sum comes from linearity of expectation. If you define the $I_i$'s as described, and let $I$ be the random variable denoting the total number of positions where this occurs, we have:
          $$Eleft(Iright) = Eleft(sum_{i=1}^{51} I_i right) = sum_{i=1}^{51} Eleft(I_i right) = sum_{i=1}^{51} Pr(I_i = 1) = frac{51}{4}$$






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$













          • $begingroup$
            Good catch on P(I=1) and P(I=0); I'll edit in the question in case anyone gets confused by that. On semantics: is there any issue with writing $sum_{i=2}^{52}$ instead?
            $endgroup$
            – user603569
            Dec 1 '18 at 20:26








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            Not really; this depends on how you set up your indicators (does $I_i$ represent $i$ and $i+1$ both being red, or $i$ and $i-1$ both being red?) You should get the same answer either way.
            $endgroup$
            – platty
            Dec 1 '18 at 20:27














          0












          0








          0





          $begingroup$

          Apart from what looks likes a typo flipping $P(I_i = 1)$ and $P(I_i=0)$, this looks okay. You should also be careful with being explicit about your random variables; as you define $I$, you should have $E(I) = frac{1}{4}$ (what you really want is to define a separate $I_i$ for each $1 leq i leq 51$).



          The justification for the sum comes from linearity of expectation. If you define the $I_i$'s as described, and let $I$ be the random variable denoting the total number of positions where this occurs, we have:
          $$Eleft(Iright) = Eleft(sum_{i=1}^{51} I_i right) = sum_{i=1}^{51} Eleft(I_i right) = sum_{i=1}^{51} Pr(I_i = 1) = frac{51}{4}$$






          share|cite|improve this answer









          $endgroup$



          Apart from what looks likes a typo flipping $P(I_i = 1)$ and $P(I_i=0)$, this looks okay. You should also be careful with being explicit about your random variables; as you define $I$, you should have $E(I) = frac{1}{4}$ (what you really want is to define a separate $I_i$ for each $1 leq i leq 51$).



          The justification for the sum comes from linearity of expectation. If you define the $I_i$'s as described, and let $I$ be the random variable denoting the total number of positions where this occurs, we have:
          $$Eleft(Iright) = Eleft(sum_{i=1}^{51} I_i right) = sum_{i=1}^{51} Eleft(I_i right) = sum_{i=1}^{51} Pr(I_i = 1) = frac{51}{4}$$







          share|cite|improve this answer












          share|cite|improve this answer



          share|cite|improve this answer










          answered Dec 1 '18 at 20:20









          plattyplatty

          3,370320




          3,370320












          • $begingroup$
            Good catch on P(I=1) and P(I=0); I'll edit in the question in case anyone gets confused by that. On semantics: is there any issue with writing $sum_{i=2}^{52}$ instead?
            $endgroup$
            – user603569
            Dec 1 '18 at 20:26








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            Not really; this depends on how you set up your indicators (does $I_i$ represent $i$ and $i+1$ both being red, or $i$ and $i-1$ both being red?) You should get the same answer either way.
            $endgroup$
            – platty
            Dec 1 '18 at 20:27


















          • $begingroup$
            Good catch on P(I=1) and P(I=0); I'll edit in the question in case anyone gets confused by that. On semantics: is there any issue with writing $sum_{i=2}^{52}$ instead?
            $endgroup$
            – user603569
            Dec 1 '18 at 20:26








          • 1




            $begingroup$
            Not really; this depends on how you set up your indicators (does $I_i$ represent $i$ and $i+1$ both being red, or $i$ and $i-1$ both being red?) You should get the same answer either way.
            $endgroup$
            – platty
            Dec 1 '18 at 20:27
















          $begingroup$
          Good catch on P(I=1) and P(I=0); I'll edit in the question in case anyone gets confused by that. On semantics: is there any issue with writing $sum_{i=2}^{52}$ instead?
          $endgroup$
          – user603569
          Dec 1 '18 at 20:26






          $begingroup$
          Good catch on P(I=1) and P(I=0); I'll edit in the question in case anyone gets confused by that. On semantics: is there any issue with writing $sum_{i=2}^{52}$ instead?
          $endgroup$
          – user603569
          Dec 1 '18 at 20:26






          1




          1




          $begingroup$
          Not really; this depends on how you set up your indicators (does $I_i$ represent $i$ and $i+1$ both being red, or $i$ and $i-1$ both being red?) You should get the same answer either way.
          $endgroup$
          – platty
          Dec 1 '18 at 20:27




          $begingroup$
          Not really; this depends on how you set up your indicators (does $I_i$ represent $i$ and $i+1$ both being red, or $i$ and $i-1$ both being red?) You should get the same answer either way.
          $endgroup$
          – platty
          Dec 1 '18 at 20:27


















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