Expected number of urns that are empty
$begingroup$
We have $n$ balls that are numbered $1,...,n$ and are put into $n$
urns also numbered 1 thru n in such way that ball $i$ is equally
likely to go into any of the urns $1,2,...,n$. Find the expected
number of urns that are empty. Also, find the probability that none of
urns are empty.
Attempt
Im confused as to how we place the balls into the urns. What is the convention in such problems? Because for instance, I don't know whether an urn can have at most one ball, or can hold more than one ball. This is my confusion, but my idea is to let $X$ be the number of empty urns and then define
$$ X_i = begin{cases} 1, ; ; ; urn ; i ; empty \ 0, ; ; ; otherwise end{cases}$$
So that $X = sum_{i=1}^n X_i$. Now, since we want $E(X) $ and $E(X)= sum^{n} E(X_i)$, then we just need to care about $E(X_i) = P(X_i=1)$. SO, in other words, the problem reduces to find the probability that the ith urn is empty.
my Assumption: an urn can contain any number of balls
Assuming this, then the sample space is $n^n$ and the number of ways an urn is empty is just $n!$ since to have the ith urn empty all the other $n$ balls must go into remaining $n-1$ urns. Therefore $E(X_i) = frac{n!}{n^n} $ and thus
$$ E(X) = n frac{n!}{n^n} = frac{n!}{n^{n-1} } $$
Now, if we want none of the urn empty, we just have to count in how many ways can all $n$ balls be placed in $n$ urns so that no urn is empty, well this is just $n!$. Threfore
$$ P(no ; urn ; empty) = frac{n!}{n^n} $$
is my approach correct?
probability
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
We have $n$ balls that are numbered $1,...,n$ and are put into $n$
urns also numbered 1 thru n in such way that ball $i$ is equally
likely to go into any of the urns $1,2,...,n$. Find the expected
number of urns that are empty. Also, find the probability that none of
urns are empty.
Attempt
Im confused as to how we place the balls into the urns. What is the convention in such problems? Because for instance, I don't know whether an urn can have at most one ball, or can hold more than one ball. This is my confusion, but my idea is to let $X$ be the number of empty urns and then define
$$ X_i = begin{cases} 1, ; ; ; urn ; i ; empty \ 0, ; ; ; otherwise end{cases}$$
So that $X = sum_{i=1}^n X_i$. Now, since we want $E(X) $ and $E(X)= sum^{n} E(X_i)$, then we just need to care about $E(X_i) = P(X_i=1)$. SO, in other words, the problem reduces to find the probability that the ith urn is empty.
my Assumption: an urn can contain any number of balls
Assuming this, then the sample space is $n^n$ and the number of ways an urn is empty is just $n!$ since to have the ith urn empty all the other $n$ balls must go into remaining $n-1$ urns. Therefore $E(X_i) = frac{n!}{n^n} $ and thus
$$ E(X) = n frac{n!}{n^n} = frac{n!}{n^{n-1} } $$
Now, if we want none of the urn empty, we just have to count in how many ways can all $n$ balls be placed in $n$ urns so that no urn is empty, well this is just $n!$. Threfore
$$ P(no ; urn ; empty) = frac{n!}{n^n} $$
is my approach correct?
probability
$endgroup$
$begingroup$
I believe that urns in probability problems usually have infinite capacity $ddotsmile$
$endgroup$
– Lord Shark the Unknown
Nov 28 '18 at 6:12
$begingroup$
I don't get $E(X_i)$ as $n!/n^n$.
$endgroup$
– Lord Shark the Unknown
Nov 28 '18 at 6:13
add a comment |
$begingroup$
We have $n$ balls that are numbered $1,...,n$ and are put into $n$
urns also numbered 1 thru n in such way that ball $i$ is equally
likely to go into any of the urns $1,2,...,n$. Find the expected
number of urns that are empty. Also, find the probability that none of
urns are empty.
Attempt
Im confused as to how we place the balls into the urns. What is the convention in such problems? Because for instance, I don't know whether an urn can have at most one ball, or can hold more than one ball. This is my confusion, but my idea is to let $X$ be the number of empty urns and then define
$$ X_i = begin{cases} 1, ; ; ; urn ; i ; empty \ 0, ; ; ; otherwise end{cases}$$
So that $X = sum_{i=1}^n X_i$. Now, since we want $E(X) $ and $E(X)= sum^{n} E(X_i)$, then we just need to care about $E(X_i) = P(X_i=1)$. SO, in other words, the problem reduces to find the probability that the ith urn is empty.
my Assumption: an urn can contain any number of balls
Assuming this, then the sample space is $n^n$ and the number of ways an urn is empty is just $n!$ since to have the ith urn empty all the other $n$ balls must go into remaining $n-1$ urns. Therefore $E(X_i) = frac{n!}{n^n} $ and thus
$$ E(X) = n frac{n!}{n^n} = frac{n!}{n^{n-1} } $$
Now, if we want none of the urn empty, we just have to count in how many ways can all $n$ balls be placed in $n$ urns so that no urn is empty, well this is just $n!$. Threfore
$$ P(no ; urn ; empty) = frac{n!}{n^n} $$
is my approach correct?
probability
$endgroup$
We have $n$ balls that are numbered $1,...,n$ and are put into $n$
urns also numbered 1 thru n in such way that ball $i$ is equally
likely to go into any of the urns $1,2,...,n$. Find the expected
number of urns that are empty. Also, find the probability that none of
urns are empty.
Attempt
Im confused as to how we place the balls into the urns. What is the convention in such problems? Because for instance, I don't know whether an urn can have at most one ball, or can hold more than one ball. This is my confusion, but my idea is to let $X$ be the number of empty urns and then define
$$ X_i = begin{cases} 1, ; ; ; urn ; i ; empty \ 0, ; ; ; otherwise end{cases}$$
So that $X = sum_{i=1}^n X_i$. Now, since we want $E(X) $ and $E(X)= sum^{n} E(X_i)$, then we just need to care about $E(X_i) = P(X_i=1)$. SO, in other words, the problem reduces to find the probability that the ith urn is empty.
my Assumption: an urn can contain any number of balls
Assuming this, then the sample space is $n^n$ and the number of ways an urn is empty is just $n!$ since to have the ith urn empty all the other $n$ balls must go into remaining $n-1$ urns. Therefore $E(X_i) = frac{n!}{n^n} $ and thus
$$ E(X) = n frac{n!}{n^n} = frac{n!}{n^{n-1} } $$
Now, if we want none of the urn empty, we just have to count in how many ways can all $n$ balls be placed in $n$ urns so that no urn is empty, well this is just $n!$. Threfore
$$ P(no ; urn ; empty) = frac{n!}{n^n} $$
is my approach correct?
probability
probability
asked Nov 28 '18 at 6:07
Jimmy SabaterJimmy Sabater
2,648321
2,648321
$begingroup$
I believe that urns in probability problems usually have infinite capacity $ddotsmile$
$endgroup$
– Lord Shark the Unknown
Nov 28 '18 at 6:12
$begingroup$
I don't get $E(X_i)$ as $n!/n^n$.
$endgroup$
– Lord Shark the Unknown
Nov 28 '18 at 6:13
add a comment |
$begingroup$
I believe that urns in probability problems usually have infinite capacity $ddotsmile$
$endgroup$
– Lord Shark the Unknown
Nov 28 '18 at 6:12
$begingroup$
I don't get $E(X_i)$ as $n!/n^n$.
$endgroup$
– Lord Shark the Unknown
Nov 28 '18 at 6:13
$begingroup$
I believe that urns in probability problems usually have infinite capacity $ddotsmile$
$endgroup$
– Lord Shark the Unknown
Nov 28 '18 at 6:12
$begingroup$
I believe that urns in probability problems usually have infinite capacity $ddotsmile$
$endgroup$
– Lord Shark the Unknown
Nov 28 '18 at 6:12
$begingroup$
I don't get $E(X_i)$ as $n!/n^n$.
$endgroup$
– Lord Shark the Unknown
Nov 28 '18 at 6:13
$begingroup$
I don't get $E(X_i)$ as $n!/n^n$.
$endgroup$
– Lord Shark the Unknown
Nov 28 '18 at 6:13
add a comment |
1 Answer
1
active
oldest
votes
$begingroup$
Standard probability assumptions say that urns have unlimited capacity and/or balls have zero volume (wow!). Your ideas seem to be on the right track, although some of the calculations are off. $P(X_i = 1)$ is the probability that every single ball misses the $i$th bin. Each ball is independent and each is equally likely to land in every bin, so this is just $left(frac{n-1}{n}right)^n$. Then you would apply linearity of expectation in much the same manner as you do above.
The solution for the second problem seems fine.
$endgroup$
add a comment |
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1 Answer
1
active
oldest
votes
1 Answer
1
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
$begingroup$
Standard probability assumptions say that urns have unlimited capacity and/or balls have zero volume (wow!). Your ideas seem to be on the right track, although some of the calculations are off. $P(X_i = 1)$ is the probability that every single ball misses the $i$th bin. Each ball is independent and each is equally likely to land in every bin, so this is just $left(frac{n-1}{n}right)^n$. Then you would apply linearity of expectation in much the same manner as you do above.
The solution for the second problem seems fine.
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Standard probability assumptions say that urns have unlimited capacity and/or balls have zero volume (wow!). Your ideas seem to be on the right track, although some of the calculations are off. $P(X_i = 1)$ is the probability that every single ball misses the $i$th bin. Each ball is independent and each is equally likely to land in every bin, so this is just $left(frac{n-1}{n}right)^n$. Then you would apply linearity of expectation in much the same manner as you do above.
The solution for the second problem seems fine.
$endgroup$
add a comment |
$begingroup$
Standard probability assumptions say that urns have unlimited capacity and/or balls have zero volume (wow!). Your ideas seem to be on the right track, although some of the calculations are off. $P(X_i = 1)$ is the probability that every single ball misses the $i$th bin. Each ball is independent and each is equally likely to land in every bin, so this is just $left(frac{n-1}{n}right)^n$. Then you would apply linearity of expectation in much the same manner as you do above.
The solution for the second problem seems fine.
$endgroup$
Standard probability assumptions say that urns have unlimited capacity and/or balls have zero volume (wow!). Your ideas seem to be on the right track, although some of the calculations are off. $P(X_i = 1)$ is the probability that every single ball misses the $i$th bin. Each ball is independent and each is equally likely to land in every bin, so this is just $left(frac{n-1}{n}right)^n$. Then you would apply linearity of expectation in much the same manner as you do above.
The solution for the second problem seems fine.
answered Nov 28 '18 at 6:32
plattyplatty
3,370320
3,370320
add a comment |
add a comment |
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$begingroup$
I believe that urns in probability problems usually have infinite capacity $ddotsmile$
$endgroup$
– Lord Shark the Unknown
Nov 28 '18 at 6:12
$begingroup$
I don't get $E(X_i)$ as $n!/n^n$.
$endgroup$
– Lord Shark the Unknown
Nov 28 '18 at 6:13