Including random variables in differential equations












3












$begingroup$


I am having trouble finding information regarding the inclusion of random variables in differential equations. For example I have a simple model describing the growth of some population $X$ over time:
$$
dot{X} = X (r - alpha X)
$$



In this deterministic form we can easily solve to get the equilibrial and explicit solutions with regards to time



My question comes when I want to express random variations in parameter $alpha$, allowing it be represented as a random variable. This means that $X$ also becomes a random variable. Can we derive equations to describe the change in this distribution and its moments over time? Note that here i am not taking about a time varying stochastic process (like brownian walks) but rather static variation in the parameters. Additionally can we include these moments in the differential equation above so that they depend on the moments of the distribution?



$$
dot{X} = X (r - alpha X - E[X])
$$










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$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    If your $alpha$ is not varying with time, you can just solve your equation (considering $alpha$ a constant parameter) and, then, evaluate the moments of $X$ (that will be function of time), integrating over $alpha$ weighting by its pdf.
    $endgroup$
    – N74
    Dec 17 '18 at 9:12
















3












$begingroup$


I am having trouble finding information regarding the inclusion of random variables in differential equations. For example I have a simple model describing the growth of some population $X$ over time:
$$
dot{X} = X (r - alpha X)
$$



In this deterministic form we can easily solve to get the equilibrial and explicit solutions with regards to time



My question comes when I want to express random variations in parameter $alpha$, allowing it be represented as a random variable. This means that $X$ also becomes a random variable. Can we derive equations to describe the change in this distribution and its moments over time? Note that here i am not taking about a time varying stochastic process (like brownian walks) but rather static variation in the parameters. Additionally can we include these moments in the differential equation above so that they depend on the moments of the distribution?



$$
dot{X} = X (r - alpha X - E[X])
$$










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    If your $alpha$ is not varying with time, you can just solve your equation (considering $alpha$ a constant parameter) and, then, evaluate the moments of $X$ (that will be function of time), integrating over $alpha$ weighting by its pdf.
    $endgroup$
    – N74
    Dec 17 '18 at 9:12














3












3








3


0



$begingroup$


I am having trouble finding information regarding the inclusion of random variables in differential equations. For example I have a simple model describing the growth of some population $X$ over time:
$$
dot{X} = X (r - alpha X)
$$



In this deterministic form we can easily solve to get the equilibrial and explicit solutions with regards to time



My question comes when I want to express random variations in parameter $alpha$, allowing it be represented as a random variable. This means that $X$ also becomes a random variable. Can we derive equations to describe the change in this distribution and its moments over time? Note that here i am not taking about a time varying stochastic process (like brownian walks) but rather static variation in the parameters. Additionally can we include these moments in the differential equation above so that they depend on the moments of the distribution?



$$
dot{X} = X (r - alpha X - E[X])
$$










share|cite|improve this question











$endgroup$




I am having trouble finding information regarding the inclusion of random variables in differential equations. For example I have a simple model describing the growth of some population $X$ over time:
$$
dot{X} = X (r - alpha X)
$$



In this deterministic form we can easily solve to get the equilibrial and explicit solutions with regards to time



My question comes when I want to express random variations in parameter $alpha$, allowing it be represented as a random variable. This means that $X$ also becomes a random variable. Can we derive equations to describe the change in this distribution and its moments over time? Note that here i am not taking about a time varying stochastic process (like brownian walks) but rather static variation in the parameters. Additionally can we include these moments in the differential equation above so that they depend on the moments of the distribution?



$$
dot{X} = X (r - alpha X - E[X])
$$







calculus probability ordinary-differential-equations mathematical-modeling






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share|cite|improve this question













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edited Dec 13 '18 at 18:16









aghostinthefigures

1,2891217




1,2891217










asked Dec 12 '18 at 22:29









TomTom

436




436












  • $begingroup$
    If your $alpha$ is not varying with time, you can just solve your equation (considering $alpha$ a constant parameter) and, then, evaluate the moments of $X$ (that will be function of time), integrating over $alpha$ weighting by its pdf.
    $endgroup$
    – N74
    Dec 17 '18 at 9:12


















  • $begingroup$
    If your $alpha$ is not varying with time, you can just solve your equation (considering $alpha$ a constant parameter) and, then, evaluate the moments of $X$ (that will be function of time), integrating over $alpha$ weighting by its pdf.
    $endgroup$
    – N74
    Dec 17 '18 at 9:12
















$begingroup$
If your $alpha$ is not varying with time, you can just solve your equation (considering $alpha$ a constant parameter) and, then, evaluate the moments of $X$ (that will be function of time), integrating over $alpha$ weighting by its pdf.
$endgroup$
– N74
Dec 17 '18 at 9:12




$begingroup$
If your $alpha$ is not varying with time, you can just solve your equation (considering $alpha$ a constant parameter) and, then, evaluate the moments of $X$ (that will be function of time), integrating over $alpha$ weighting by its pdf.
$endgroup$
– N74
Dec 17 '18 at 9:12










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