Error term too big/can in improve my multiple regression?












0












$begingroup$


I have made regression selecting the best features (p-val<0.05). I now have the model with a 0.85 R-squared and residual of 2.64.

Well, sometimes when I try to predict some new instances, my predictions is way outside my residual deviation. I mean sometime my actual y-value is supposed to be 20 and I have 26,7.

I also fell the need to mention that when I explored my target with a boxplot; I had a maximum of 33 and outliers going up to 100 and the standard deviation for that target is nearly 7.

The good thing is, I have over a million of rows and the outliers represent about 5000 rows. Is taking them off improve my model? what can I do to improve such a model?










share|cite|improve this question









$endgroup$

















    0












    $begingroup$


    I have made regression selecting the best features (p-val<0.05). I now have the model with a 0.85 R-squared and residual of 2.64.

    Well, sometimes when I try to predict some new instances, my predictions is way outside my residual deviation. I mean sometime my actual y-value is supposed to be 20 and I have 26,7.

    I also fell the need to mention that when I explored my target with a boxplot; I had a maximum of 33 and outliers going up to 100 and the standard deviation for that target is nearly 7.

    The good thing is, I have over a million of rows and the outliers represent about 5000 rows. Is taking them off improve my model? what can I do to improve such a model?










    share|cite|improve this question









    $endgroup$















      0












      0








      0





      $begingroup$


      I have made regression selecting the best features (p-val<0.05). I now have the model with a 0.85 R-squared and residual of 2.64.

      Well, sometimes when I try to predict some new instances, my predictions is way outside my residual deviation. I mean sometime my actual y-value is supposed to be 20 and I have 26,7.

      I also fell the need to mention that when I explored my target with a boxplot; I had a maximum of 33 and outliers going up to 100 and the standard deviation for that target is nearly 7.

      The good thing is, I have over a million of rows and the outliers represent about 5000 rows. Is taking them off improve my model? what can I do to improve such a model?










      share|cite|improve this question









      $endgroup$




      I have made regression selecting the best features (p-val<0.05). I now have the model with a 0.85 R-squared and residual of 2.64.

      Well, sometimes when I try to predict some new instances, my predictions is way outside my residual deviation. I mean sometime my actual y-value is supposed to be 20 and I have 26,7.

      I also fell the need to mention that when I explored my target with a boxplot; I had a maximum of 33 and outliers going up to 100 and the standard deviation for that target is nearly 7.

      The good thing is, I have over a million of rows and the outliers represent about 5000 rows. Is taking them off improve my model? what can I do to improve such a model?







      statistics linear-regression






      share|cite|improve this question













      share|cite|improve this question











      share|cite|improve this question




      share|cite|improve this question










      asked Nov 28 '18 at 21:55









      CamueCamue

      52




      52






















          0






          active

          oldest

          votes











          Your Answer





          StackExchange.ifUsing("editor", function () {
          return StackExchange.using("mathjaxEditing", function () {
          StackExchange.MarkdownEditor.creationCallbacks.add(function (editor, postfix) {
          StackExchange.mathjaxEditing.prepareWmdForMathJax(editor, postfix, [["$", "$"], ["\\(","\\)"]]);
          });
          });
          }, "mathjax-editing");

          StackExchange.ready(function() {
          var channelOptions = {
          tags: "".split(" "),
          id: "69"
          };
          initTagRenderer("".split(" "), "".split(" "), channelOptions);

          StackExchange.using("externalEditor", function() {
          // Have to fire editor after snippets, if snippets enabled
          if (StackExchange.settings.snippets.snippetsEnabled) {
          StackExchange.using("snippets", function() {
          createEditor();
          });
          }
          else {
          createEditor();
          }
          });

          function createEditor() {
          StackExchange.prepareEditor({
          heartbeatType: 'answer',
          autoActivateHeartbeat: false,
          convertImagesToLinks: true,
          noModals: true,
          showLowRepImageUploadWarning: true,
          reputationToPostImages: 10,
          bindNavPrevention: true,
          postfix: "",
          imageUploader: {
          brandingHtml: "Powered by u003ca class="icon-imgur-white" href="https://imgur.com/"u003eu003c/au003e",
          contentPolicyHtml: "User contributions licensed under u003ca href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/"u003ecc by-sa 3.0 with attribution requiredu003c/au003e u003ca href="https://stackoverflow.com/legal/content-policy"u003e(content policy)u003c/au003e",
          allowUrls: true
          },
          noCode: true, onDemand: true,
          discardSelector: ".discard-answer"
          ,immediatelyShowMarkdownHelp:true
          });


          }
          });














          draft saved

          draft discarded


















          StackExchange.ready(
          function () {
          StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3017776%2ferror-term-too-big-can-in-improve-my-multiple-regression%23new-answer', 'question_page');
          }
          );

          Post as a guest















          Required, but never shown

























          0






          active

          oldest

          votes








          0






          active

          oldest

          votes









          active

          oldest

          votes






          active

          oldest

          votes
















          draft saved

          draft discarded




















































          Thanks for contributing an answer to Mathematics Stack Exchange!


          • Please be sure to answer the question. Provide details and share your research!

          But avoid



          • Asking for help, clarification, or responding to other answers.

          • Making statements based on opinion; back them up with references or personal experience.


          Use MathJax to format equations. MathJax reference.


          To learn more, see our tips on writing great answers.




          draft saved


          draft discarded














          StackExchange.ready(
          function () {
          StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3017776%2ferror-term-too-big-can-in-improve-my-multiple-regression%23new-answer', 'question_page');
          }
          );

          Post as a guest















          Required, but never shown





















































          Required, but never shown














          Required, but never shown












          Required, but never shown







          Required, but never shown

































          Required, but never shown














          Required, but never shown












          Required, but never shown







          Required, but never shown







          Popular posts from this blog

          Biblatex bibliography style without URLs when DOI exists (in Overleaf with Zotero bibliography)

          ComboBox Display Member on multiple fields

          Is it possible to collect Nectar points via Trainline?