Does the limit distribution not exist?











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Consider the Markov chain with state space $S = {1,2,3,4}$ and one-step probability transition matrix $M$:



$$M = begin{bmatrix}0 & frac12 & 0 & frac12 \ frac13 & frac13 & frac13 & 0 \ 0 & 0 & 1 & 0 \ 0 & 0 & 0 & 1end{bmatrix}$$



This Markov chain clearly does not have unique stationary distribution, as $pi_1=begin{bmatrix}0 & 0 & 1 & 0end{bmatrix}$ and $pi_2=begin{bmatrix}0 & 0 & 0 & 1end{bmatrix}$ are two stationary distributions for the chain. What can we say about the limit distribution for this chain? The definition in Parzen's book states that "a chain is said to possess a long-run distribution if for every $j,kin S$ we have $lim_{ntoinfty}p_{j,k}(n)=pi_k$. I calculated $M^n$ for big $n$ values using MATLAB, and we get something like this:



$$M^n to begin{bmatrix}0 & 0 & frac13 & frac23 \ 0 & 0 & frac23 & frac13 \ 0 & 0 & 1 & 0 \ 0 & 0 & 0 & 1end{bmatrix} text{as } ntoinfty$$



So by the definition stated above the chain doesn't have a limit distribution? It all seems somewhat confusing.










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    Consider the Markov chain with state space $S = {1,2,3,4}$ and one-step probability transition matrix $M$:



    $$M = begin{bmatrix}0 & frac12 & 0 & frac12 \ frac13 & frac13 & frac13 & 0 \ 0 & 0 & 1 & 0 \ 0 & 0 & 0 & 1end{bmatrix}$$



    This Markov chain clearly does not have unique stationary distribution, as $pi_1=begin{bmatrix}0 & 0 & 1 & 0end{bmatrix}$ and $pi_2=begin{bmatrix}0 & 0 & 0 & 1end{bmatrix}$ are two stationary distributions for the chain. What can we say about the limit distribution for this chain? The definition in Parzen's book states that "a chain is said to possess a long-run distribution if for every $j,kin S$ we have $lim_{ntoinfty}p_{j,k}(n)=pi_k$. I calculated $M^n$ for big $n$ values using MATLAB, and we get something like this:



    $$M^n to begin{bmatrix}0 & 0 & frac13 & frac23 \ 0 & 0 & frac23 & frac13 \ 0 & 0 & 1 & 0 \ 0 & 0 & 0 & 1end{bmatrix} text{as } ntoinfty$$



    So by the definition stated above the chain doesn't have a limit distribution? It all seems somewhat confusing.










    share|cite|improve this question
























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      down vote

      favorite









      up vote
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      down vote

      favorite











      Consider the Markov chain with state space $S = {1,2,3,4}$ and one-step probability transition matrix $M$:



      $$M = begin{bmatrix}0 & frac12 & 0 & frac12 \ frac13 & frac13 & frac13 & 0 \ 0 & 0 & 1 & 0 \ 0 & 0 & 0 & 1end{bmatrix}$$



      This Markov chain clearly does not have unique stationary distribution, as $pi_1=begin{bmatrix}0 & 0 & 1 & 0end{bmatrix}$ and $pi_2=begin{bmatrix}0 & 0 & 0 & 1end{bmatrix}$ are two stationary distributions for the chain. What can we say about the limit distribution for this chain? The definition in Parzen's book states that "a chain is said to possess a long-run distribution if for every $j,kin S$ we have $lim_{ntoinfty}p_{j,k}(n)=pi_k$. I calculated $M^n$ for big $n$ values using MATLAB, and we get something like this:



      $$M^n to begin{bmatrix}0 & 0 & frac13 & frac23 \ 0 & 0 & frac23 & frac13 \ 0 & 0 & 1 & 0 \ 0 & 0 & 0 & 1end{bmatrix} text{as } ntoinfty$$



      So by the definition stated above the chain doesn't have a limit distribution? It all seems somewhat confusing.










      share|cite|improve this question













      Consider the Markov chain with state space $S = {1,2,3,4}$ and one-step probability transition matrix $M$:



      $$M = begin{bmatrix}0 & frac12 & 0 & frac12 \ frac13 & frac13 & frac13 & 0 \ 0 & 0 & 1 & 0 \ 0 & 0 & 0 & 1end{bmatrix}$$



      This Markov chain clearly does not have unique stationary distribution, as $pi_1=begin{bmatrix}0 & 0 & 1 & 0end{bmatrix}$ and $pi_2=begin{bmatrix}0 & 0 & 0 & 1end{bmatrix}$ are two stationary distributions for the chain. What can we say about the limit distribution for this chain? The definition in Parzen's book states that "a chain is said to possess a long-run distribution if for every $j,kin S$ we have $lim_{ntoinfty}p_{j,k}(n)=pi_k$. I calculated $M^n$ for big $n$ values using MATLAB, and we get something like this:



      $$M^n to begin{bmatrix}0 & 0 & frac13 & frac23 \ 0 & 0 & frac23 & frac13 \ 0 & 0 & 1 & 0 \ 0 & 0 & 0 & 1end{bmatrix} text{as } ntoinfty$$



      So by the definition stated above the chain doesn't have a limit distribution? It all seems somewhat confusing.







      stochastic-processes markov-chains






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      asked 13 hours ago









      AstlyDichrar

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