Probability of equal # of blue and red fish chosen when drawing without replacement











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The problem is such



enter image description here



One diagram of the possible situations is as follows:



M M F F , $P(M=2,F=2)$



Need to find , $ P(M=2,F=2)$, So:



-# of ways to pick four fish from the pond = $C_2^{10}C_2^{8}=45*28=1260$



-# of ways to pick 2 male and female fish from the pond = $(10*9)+(8*7)=90+56$



So the probability is $frac{146}{1260}=0.11589$, which seems a bit too small; shouldn't it be closer to 1 as what other cases would make up for the remaining 1114(=1260-146) cases. I am guessing that I went wrong with finding the possible ways as 146. And I am not sure if I need to consider if there was only 1 male and female fish and 0 male and female fish. Cause it doesn't make sense that when you draw 4 fish u get none or only 2 fish.










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    up vote
    0
    down vote

    favorite












    The problem is such



    enter image description here



    One diagram of the possible situations is as follows:



    M M F F , $P(M=2,F=2)$



    Need to find , $ P(M=2,F=2)$, So:



    -# of ways to pick four fish from the pond = $C_2^{10}C_2^{8}=45*28=1260$



    -# of ways to pick 2 male and female fish from the pond = $(10*9)+(8*7)=90+56$



    So the probability is $frac{146}{1260}=0.11589$, which seems a bit too small; shouldn't it be closer to 1 as what other cases would make up for the remaining 1114(=1260-146) cases. I am guessing that I went wrong with finding the possible ways as 146. And I am not sure if I need to consider if there was only 1 male and female fish and 0 male and female fish. Cause it doesn't make sense that when you draw 4 fish u get none or only 2 fish.










    share|cite|improve this question
























      up vote
      0
      down vote

      favorite









      up vote
      0
      down vote

      favorite











      The problem is such



      enter image description here



      One diagram of the possible situations is as follows:



      M M F F , $P(M=2,F=2)$



      Need to find , $ P(M=2,F=2)$, So:



      -# of ways to pick four fish from the pond = $C_2^{10}C_2^{8}=45*28=1260$



      -# of ways to pick 2 male and female fish from the pond = $(10*9)+(8*7)=90+56$



      So the probability is $frac{146}{1260}=0.11589$, which seems a bit too small; shouldn't it be closer to 1 as what other cases would make up for the remaining 1114(=1260-146) cases. I am guessing that I went wrong with finding the possible ways as 146. And I am not sure if I need to consider if there was only 1 male and female fish and 0 male and female fish. Cause it doesn't make sense that when you draw 4 fish u get none or only 2 fish.










      share|cite|improve this question













      The problem is such



      enter image description here



      One diagram of the possible situations is as follows:



      M M F F , $P(M=2,F=2)$



      Need to find , $ P(M=2,F=2)$, So:



      -# of ways to pick four fish from the pond = $C_2^{10}C_2^{8}=45*28=1260$



      -# of ways to pick 2 male and female fish from the pond = $(10*9)+(8*7)=90+56$



      So the probability is $frac{146}{1260}=0.11589$, which seems a bit too small; shouldn't it be closer to 1 as what other cases would make up for the remaining 1114(=1260-146) cases. I am guessing that I went wrong with finding the possible ways as 146. And I am not sure if I need to consider if there was only 1 male and female fish and 0 male and female fish. Cause it doesn't make sense that when you draw 4 fish u get none or only 2 fish.







      probability proof-verification






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      asked Nov 15 at 10:01









      glockm15

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          You have to consider whole items.

          Now Total = 18C4 = 3060

          Like you said, ways to pick 2 male and female fish from the pond = 10C2 * 8C2 = 1260

          So the probability is 1260 3060=0.4117






          share|cite|improve this answer





















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            1 Answer
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            1 Answer
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            active

            oldest

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            active

            oldest

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            active

            oldest

            votes








            up vote
            0
            down vote



            accepted










            You have to consider whole items.

            Now Total = 18C4 = 3060

            Like you said, ways to pick 2 male and female fish from the pond = 10C2 * 8C2 = 1260

            So the probability is 1260 3060=0.4117






            share|cite|improve this answer

























              up vote
              0
              down vote



              accepted










              You have to consider whole items.

              Now Total = 18C4 = 3060

              Like you said, ways to pick 2 male and female fish from the pond = 10C2 * 8C2 = 1260

              So the probability is 1260 3060=0.4117






              share|cite|improve this answer























                up vote
                0
                down vote



                accepted







                up vote
                0
                down vote



                accepted






                You have to consider whole items.

                Now Total = 18C4 = 3060

                Like you said, ways to pick 2 male and female fish from the pond = 10C2 * 8C2 = 1260

                So the probability is 1260 3060=0.4117






                share|cite|improve this answer












                You have to consider whole items.

                Now Total = 18C4 = 3060

                Like you said, ways to pick 2 male and female fish from the pond = 10C2 * 8C2 = 1260

                So the probability is 1260 3060=0.4117







                share|cite|improve this answer












                share|cite|improve this answer



                share|cite|improve this answer










                answered Nov 15 at 11:13









                ImNv

                16




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